TO THROW IT BACK TO CATHY A AND MAYBE -- OKAY, WE'RE GOING TO THROW IT BACK TO CATHY AND ERIC ON THE STAGE!

>> Cathy: OH, ERIC ON THE STAGE!

>> Cathy: OH, TANE DANGER, WE LOVE YOU.

IT HASEE BN A HOT, WE LOVE YOU.

IT HAS BEEN A HOT, SMOKY, DRY SUMMER HERE IN THE G IT HAS BEEN A HOT, SMOKY, DRY SUMMER HERE IN THE GREAT STATE OF SUMMER HERE IN THE GREAT STATE OF MINNESOTA.

THE FORESTCA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS HERE AT THE FAIR IS FOR HIGH TEMPS IN THE 80S AND MAYBE SOME RAIN.

FINGERS AND TOESRO CSSED FOR THAT.

BUT IT'S NOT ENOUGH TO CHANGE THE DEEPENING DROUGHT.

NEARLY 80% OF THE STATE IS NOW IN AT LEAST MODERATE DROUG.HT ON THE WITH A SUPER EL NIC WAY, WHAT WILL FALL AND ON THE WITH A SUPER EL NIC WAY, WHAT WILL FALL AND WINTER BRING US?

JOIN BRING US?

JOINING US IS A JOINING US IS MIA NNESOTA TREASURE, METEOROLOGIST MARK SEELEY IS WITH US.

YEAH!

THE AUTHOR OF "MINNESOTA WEATHER ALMANAC" AND A FREQUENT GUEST ON "M WEATHER ALMANAC" AND A FREQUENT GUEST ON "MORNING EDITION" AND "ALMANAC."

HERE ON TWIN CITIES EDITION" AND "ALMANAC."

HERE ON TWIN CITIES PBS.

GOOD TO SEE OU, MY FRIEND.

>> GOOD TO BE HERE, CATHY.

I'D LIKE TO ASK THE AUDIENCE.

I'VE BEE I'D LIKE TO ASK THE AUDIENCE.

I'VE BEEN A METEOROLOGIST FOR 51 YEARS AND A I'VE BEEN A METEOROLOGIST FOR 51 YEARS AND A CLIMATOLOGIST FOR 49 YEARSND A 51 YEARS AND A CLIMATOLOGIST FOR 49 YEARS AND I'VE NEVER ASKED THIS OF THE AUDIE FOR 49 YEARS AND I'VE NEVER ASKED THIS OF THE AUDIENCE.

HOW ABOUT A BIG BOO FOR ASKED THIS OF THE AUDIENCE.

HOW ABOUT A BIG BOO FOR THE MONTH OF JULY THIS YEAR?

>> C MONTH OF JULY THIS YEAR?

>> Cathy: YOU'RE GOING TO BOO JULY?

>> Eric: WHAT HAPPENED THERE?

>> THERE?

>> WE HAD >> WE HAD 77,000 ACRES BURN IN WILD FIRES.

WE HAD MULTIPLE AIR QUALITY ALERTS.

WE HAD MULTIPLE HEAT ADVISORIES.

AND EXTREEM ADVISORIES.

AND EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS AND WE HAD VERY AND EXTREME HEAT WARNINGS AND WE HAD VERY LITTLE RAIN.

>> Cathy: UGH!

>> >> Cathy: UGH!

>> NOW, THE COMBINATION OF ALL THOSE MADE IT >> NOW, THE COMBINATION OF ALL THOSE MADE IT REALLY A VERY, VERY CHALLENGING THOSE MADE IT REALLY A VERY, VERY CHALLENGING MONTH.

>> Cathy: I DROVE >> Cathy: I DROVE NEARLY TEN HOURS OUT MOF HERE.

I KNOW.

I LOVE I KNOW.

I LOVE THIS SHOW SO MUCH.

AND I I LOVE THIS SH SOWO MUCH.

AND I NOTED, OF COURSE MONTANA, VERY DRY.

I GOT TO WESTERN MINNESOTA, MOANNTA, VERY DRY.

I GOT TO WESTERN MINNESOTA, IT WASN'T AS BAD, BUT I GOT TO WESTERN MINNESOTA, IT WASN'T AS BAD, BUT YOU STARTED TO HEAD SOUTH, AND WASN'T AS BAD, BUT YOU STARTED TO HEAD SOUTH, AND THE WHEELS CAME OFF THE BUS, THE TO HEAD SOUTH, AND THE WHEELS CAME OFF THE BUS, THE CROPS DON'T LOOK GOOD AROUND THE TWIN C DON'T LOOK GOOD AROUND THE TWIN CITIES EITHER.

>> YEAH, YOU'RE RIGHT.

FOR THE LAST SIX WEEKS ACCORDING FOR THE LA SSTIX WEEKS ACCORDING TO T UHESDA REPORTS, WE'D HAD A DECLINE IN OUR MAJOR CROP CONDITION.

THEIR PERCENT MAJOR CROP CONDITION.

THEIR PERCENTAGE THAT'S STILL IN GOOD TO EXCELLENT THEIR PERCENTAGE THAT'S STILL GOOD TO EXCELLENT CONDITION HAS BEEN DECLINING WEEK BY WEEK.

AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HA BEEN AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HAS BEEN EXPANDING AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HAS BEEN EXPANDIN AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HAS BEEN EXPANDI AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HAS BEEN EXPAND BEEN EXPAN AND OF COURSE THE DROUGHT HAS BEEN EXPA EXPAN BEEN EXPA EXPANDING AERIALLY AS WELL AS INTENSIFY BEEN EXPA EXPANDING AERIALLY AS WELL AS INTENSIFYING.

WE'VE GOT SOME AREAS OF THE STATE NOW THAT NEED ANYWHERE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN JUST TO SORT FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN JUST TO SORT OF CATCH UP TO AVERAGE.

SO THEY'RE REALLY IN A DIRE SITUATION.

TH SITUATION.

THE MOST DISCONCERTING THING I CAN SEE,ND A THE MOST DISCONCERTING THING I CAN SEE, AND I THINK I'M IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE OTHER WEATHER PEOPLE IN THE STATE, OTHER WEATHER PEOPLE IN THE STATE, CATHY, IS THATHT E OUTLOOK STATE, CATHY, IS THAT THE OUTLOOK MODELS DON'T FAVOR US JUST SNAPPING OUT OF THIS.

IN FACT, JUST SNAINPPG OUT OF THIS.

IN FACT, WE'RE GOING O CARRY THIS INTO THE IN FACT, WE'RE GOING O CARRY THIS INTO THE ADD AME IN FACT, WE'RE GOING O CARRY THIS INTO THE ADD AM IN FACT, WE'RE GOING O CARRY THIS INTO THE ADD A IN FACT, WE'RE GOING O CARRY THIS INTO THE ADD THIS INTO THE ADD AUTUMN SEASON, WHICH THIS INTO THE ADD AUTUMN SEASON, WHICH OF COURSE MIGHT MEAN WE'RE GOING TO FACE A DIFFICULT FIRE THREA WE'RE GOING TO FACE A DIFFICULT FIRE THREAT IN THE FALL MONTHS.

>> Eric: CATHY TOLD M >> Eric: CATHY TOLD ME THAT SUPER EL NINO IS >> Eric: CATHY TOLD ME THAT SUPER EL NINO IS A VIDEO GAME.

WH SUPER EL NINO IS A VIDEO GAME.

WHAT CAN WE EXPECT FROM THAT SYSTEM?

>> Cathy: WHAT IS IT, FIRST?

>> YEAH, THE >> Cathy: WHAT IS IT, FIRST?

>> YEAH, THEUP SER EL NINO, WE >> YEAH, THEUP SER EL NINO, WE'VE ONLY EPISODES -- SO WE ONLY HAVE A HANDFUL WE'VE ONLY EPISODES -- SO WE ONLY HAVE A HANDFUL OF EPISODES, LIKE EIGHT OR NINE IN HISTORY, THAT HAVE BEEN CLASSIFIED WHERE THEY'RE SUPER WARMUP OF THE CLASSIFIED WHERE THEY'RE SUPER WARMUP OF THE EQUATORIAL OF THE PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATESUR.

BUT THE ASSOCIATION WITH MINNESOTA S IT LOOKS MILD TEMPERATURE-WISE FOR THE AUTUMN SEASON AND THEN THE EARLY WINTER.

ALMOST ALL THE MODELS AGREE ON THAT, ERIC.

THERE'S VERY LITTLE DEVIATI THAT, ERIC.

THERE'S VERY LITTLE DEVIATION.

WITH RESPECT TO THERE'S VERY LITE TLDEVIATION.

WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION, FOUR OF THE SIX FAVOR A CONTINUATION OF THE DROUGHT.

NOT ONLY NO THE FALL, CONTINUATION OF THE DROUGHT.

NOT ONLY NO THE FALL, BUT INTO THE WINTER SITUATION.

THERE ARE THE WINTER SITUATION.

THERE ARE TWO MAVERICK MODELS OUT THERE.

I CALL THEM VEMARICK BECAUSE THEY DEVIATE FROM WHAT THE OTHERS THEY DEVIATE FROM WHAT THE OTHERS ARE SAYING WHERE WE MIGHT SUDDENLY IN OTHERS ARE SAYING WHERE WE MIGHT SUDDENLY IN OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER, WE MIGHSUT DDENLY IN OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER, WE MIGHT SUDDENLY START TO GET W NOVEMBER, WE MIGHT SUDDENLY START TO GET WTEETR THAN NORMAL, AND THAT WOULD BE A BLESSING FOR US.

>> Cathy: SO THE PROBLEM IS OF COURSE AS YOU GO INTO THE FALL AND IT'S BEEN OF COURSE AS YOU GO INTO THE FALL AND IT'S BEEN SO DRY, THE SOILS FREEZE UP AND IT FALL AND IT'S BEEN SO DRY, THE SOILS FREEZE UP AND IT DOESN'T HAVE THE NECESSARY RECHARGE, BECAUSE HEN YOU'RE BEHIND THE EIGHT-BALL IN THE SPRING, AREN'T YOU?

>> YES, AND OUR MINNESOTA AGRI >> YES, AND OUR MINNESOTA AGRICULTURE IS SO DEPENDENT ON FALL RECHARGE OF OUR SOIL MOISTURE.

OUR FARMERS EED TO MOISTURE.

OUR FARMERS EED TO RELY ON THAT ALMOST EVERY YEAR.

SO THAT GOING INTO THE NEXT SPRING SO THAT GOING INTO THE NEXT SPRING, THEY HAVE A GOOD SETUP FOR THEIR CROPS.

>> Eric: FOR THEIR CROPS.

>> Eric: AND STREAM LEVELS MUST BE WOY RRSOME.

>> AND L MUST BE WORRY SOME.

>> AND LAKES, ERIC.

EVERYTHING IS DECLINING >> AND LAKES, ERIC.

EVERYTHING IS DECLINING TO VERY LOW VOLUME FLOW IN OUR WATERSHEDS AND VERY LOW LAKE LEVE.LS AND THAT'S LIKELY O LEVELS.

AND THAT'S LIKELY O CONTINUE.

SO WE AND THAT'S LIKELY O CONTINUE.

SO WE WILL HAVE TO SO WE WILL HAVE TO ALL BE REALLY GOOD MINNESOTANS.

T'S ALL BE AS GOOD AS WE CAN AND PRAY TO THE GOOD LORD AND PRAY TO THE GOOD LORD THAT WE GO THE AND PRAY TO THE GOOD LORD THAT WE GO THE OTHER WAY AS WE GO INTO THE FALL WE GO THE OTHER WAY AS WE GO INTO THE FALL AND WINTER.

>> Cathy: SO WE'RE INTO THE FALL AND WINTER.

>> Cathy: SO WE'RE GOING TO KICK SUMMER TO THE CURB HERE SHORTLY, IGHT?

THE OFFICIAL SHORTLY, IGHT?

THE OFFICIAL START OF FALL IS -- >> SEPTEMBER 1.

METEOROLOGICAL FALL.

ASTRONOMICAL WITH METEOROLOGICAL FALL.

ASTRONOMICAL WITH THE ASTRONOMICAL WITH THE AUTUMNAL EKE ASTRONOMICAL WITH THE AUTUMNAL EK ASTRONOMICAL WITH THE AUTUMNAL E EEQUINOX.

>> Cat EEQUINOX.

>> Cathy: THERE'S ALWAYS ONE DAY WHERE EVERYONE SWEATS LEEK A HOG AT THEAI FR.

>> I DON'T SEE IT THIS YEAR.

IT LOOKS LIKE >> I DON'T SEE IT THIS YEAR.

IT LOOKS LIKE TOMORROW, TUESDAY, IT LOOKS LIKE TOMORROW, TUESDAY, THURSDAY, AND THEN PERHAPS TUESDAY, THURSDAY, AND THEN PERHAPS LABOR DAY.

THOSE FOUR DAYS HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR RAIN TO OCCUR HERE AT THE FAIRGROUNDS.

SO TOMORROW, TUESD OCCUR HERE AT THE FAIRGROUNDS.

SO TOMORROW, TUESDAY, THURSDAY, AND THEN LABOR SO TOMORROW, TUESDAY, THURSDAY, AND THEN LABOR DAY.

BUT NO SIGN THURSDAY, AND ENTH LABOR DAY.

BUT NO SIGN OF ANY 90-DE BUT NO SIGN OF ANY 90-DEGREE TEMPERATURES.

>> Cathy: OKAY, GOOD.

I APPRECIATE EVERYTHING YOU DO.

YOU, A DO.

YOU, AGAIN, YOU'RE A MINNESOTA TREASURE.

YOU AND I ARE GOING TO BE OUT HERE- - >> OH THE QUIZ.

NEXT TRIE.

FRIDAY OVER AT DAN PATCH.

30TH ANNIVERSARY.

I CA